
Wall Street is overwhelmingly bullish on the stocks in this article, with price targets suggesting significant upside potential. However, it’s worth remembering that analysts rarely issue sell ratings, partly because their firms often seek other business from the same companies they cover.
At StockStory, we look beyond the headlines with our independent analysis to determine whether these bullish calls are justified. That said, here are three stocks where Wall Street’s estimates seem disconnected from reality and some better opportunities to consider.
Levi's (LEVI)
Consensus Price Target: $27 (23.9% implied return)
Credited for inventing the first pair of blue jeans in 1873, Levi's (NYSE: LEVI) is an apparel company renowned for its iconic denim products and classic American style.
Why Do We Pass on LEVI?
- Underwhelming constant currency revenue performance over the past two years suggests its product offering at current prices doesn’t resonate with customers
- Capital intensity will likely increase as its free cash flow margin is anticipated to drop by 4.9 percentage points over the next year
- Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned
At $21.80 per share, Levi's trades at 14.1x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with LEVI, check out our full research report (it’s free).
JLL (JLL)
Consensus Price Target: $384.80 (32% implied return)
Founded in 1999 through the merger of Jones Lang Wootton and LaSalle Partners, JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a company specializing in real estate advisory and investment management services.
Why Do We Steer Clear of JLL?
- Large revenue base makes it harder to increase sales quickly, and its annual revenue growth of 10.1% over the last five years was below our standards for the consumer discretionary sector
- Low free cash flow margin of 2.9% for the last two years gives it little breathing room, constraining its ability to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders
- ROIC hasn’t moved, making investors question whether its recent investments can increase profitability
JLL’s stock price of $291.44 implies a valuation ratio of 12.4x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than JLL.
Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU)
Consensus Price Target: $66.40 (36% implied return)
Spun out of Cummins in 2023 after 65 years as part of the engine maker, Atmus Filtration Technologies (NYSE: ATMU) manufactures filters for trucks, construction equipment, and agriculture machinery to reduce emissions and protect engines.
Why Is ATMU Not Exciting?
- Annual revenue growth of 5.6% over the last two years was below our standards for the industrials sector
- High input costs result in an inferior gross margin of 26.3% that must be offset through higher volumes
Atmus Filtration Technologies is trading at $48.82 per share, or 2x forward price-to-sales. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including ATMU in your portfolio.
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