
What Happened?
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after strong Prime Day sales data and falling Treasury yields boosted sentiment for digital platforms.
Alphabet rose 1% (aided by its upcoming Dow inclusion), while peers like Meta and Pinterest found support despite the broader Nasdaq's 0.4% decline. U.S. online sales hit $8.3 billion, up 5.3% year-over-year, while the 10-year Treasury yield fell below 4.5%.
Consumer internet companies, particularly those reliant on digital advertising, need healthy consumer spending to justify ad budgets. The record $8.3 billion in Prime Day sales signals that consumer demand remains robust, which in turn gives advertisers the confidence to keep spending on platforms like Google and Meta. Additionally, falling yields lower the discount rate applied to these companies' future cash flows, supporting their multiples.
The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.
Among others, the following stocks were impacted:
- Gig Economy company Upwork (NASDAQ: UPWK) jumped 1%. Is now the time to buy Upwork? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.
- Social Networking company Yelp (NYSE: YELP) jumped 3.1%. Is now the time to buy Yelp? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.
Zooming In On Yelp (YELP)
Yelp’s shares are somewhat volatile and have had 13 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 7 days ago when the stock dropped 4% on the news that the Federal Reserve held its benchmark rate at 3.5%–3.75%, unchanged since late 2025's rate cuts, while its dot plot raised the median year-end rate estimate from 3.4% to 3.8%, signaling the easing cycle that had been lifting high-multiple valuations could go into reverse.
For platforms priced on advertising revenue years into the future, the implications are immediate and mathematical: the 2-year Treasury yield jumped 11 basis points to 4.161% following the announcement, raising the discount rate applied to those future cash flows. The ad market compounds the problem.
When consumers face higher borrowing costs than they had anticipated, they spend less and advertisers, whose budgets follow consumer spending, pull back in response. The dot plot told the market that borrowing costs are not falling this year. Warsh's repeated emphasis on "price stability" confirmed that the committee is not preparing to reverse course.
Yelp is down 22.5% since the beginning of the year, and at $23.39 per share, it is trading 33.7% below its 52-week high of $35.26 from July 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Yelp’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at only $572.63.
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