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1 Healthcare Stock on Our Watchlist and 2 We Avoid

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From novel pharmaceuticals to telemedicine, most healthcare companies are on a mission to drive better patient outcomes. Those leading the charge have not only realized strong financial performance but also propelled the broader industry’s returns as healthcare stocks have gained 2.3% over the past six months. This was a good place to be as the S&P 500 tumbled by 1.8%.

Although these businesses have produced results, only a handful will thrive over the long term as the influx of venture capital has ushered in a new wave of competition. On that note, here is one healthcare stock poised to generate sustainable market-beating returns and two best left ignored.

Two Healthcare Stocks to Sell:

U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH)

Market Cap: $1.16 billion

With a nationwide footprint spanning 671 clinics across 42 states, U.S. Physical Therapy (NYSE: USPH) operates a network of outpatient physical therapy clinics and provides industrial injury prevention services to employers across the United States.

Why Does USPH Fall Short?

  1. Smaller revenue base of $781 million means it hasn’t achieved the economies of scale that some industry juggernauts enjoy
  2. Annual earnings per share growth of 1.9% underperformed its revenue over the last five years, showing its incremental sales were less profitable
  3. Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 6 percentage points

At $76.73 per share, U.S. Physical Therapy trades at 26x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with USPH, check out our full research report (it’s free).

GoodRx (GDRX)

Market Cap: $733.1 million

Started in 2011 to tackle the problem of high prescription drug costs in America, GoodRx (NASDAQ: GDRX) operates a digital platform that helps consumers find lower prices on prescription medications through price comparison tools and discount codes.

Why Do We Steer Clear of GDRX?

  1. Sales trends were unexciting over the last two years as its 2.4% annual growth was below the typical healthcare company
  2. Revenue base of $796.9 million puts it at a disadvantage compared to larger competitors exhibiting economies of scale
  3. Negative returns on capital show that some of its growth strategies have backfired

GoodRx is trading at $2.15 per share, or 6.4x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why GDRX doesn’t pass our bar.

One Healthcare Stock to Watch:

AbbVie (ABBV)

Market Cap: $374.3 billion

Born from a 2013 spinoff of Abbott Laboratories' pharmaceutical business, AbbVie (NYSE: ABBV) is a biopharmaceutical company that develops and markets medications for autoimmune diseases, cancer, neurological disorders, and other complex health conditions.

Why Are We Fans of ABBV?

  1. Dominant market position is represented by its $61.16 billion in revenue, which creates significant barriers to entry in this highly regulated industry
  2. Impressive free cash flow profitability enables the company to fund new investments or reward investors with share buybacks/dividends
  3. ROIC punches in at 17%, illustrating management’s expertise in identifying profitable investments

AbbVie’s stock price of $211.03 implies a valuation ratio of 14.2x forward P/E. Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

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