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3 Consumer Stocks with Warning Signs

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Retailers are overhauling their operations as technology redefines the shopping experience. Digitization has been one of the keys to staying competitive against e-commerce rivals, a move that has enabled the industry to grow same-store sales. Consequently, retail stocks have climbed 7% over the past six months, nearly mirroring the S&P 500.

Nevertheless, investors should tread carefully as many companies will light cash on fire by opening new locations without the proper justifications. With that said, here are three consumer stocks best left ignored.

Lowe's (LOW)

Market Cap: $123.9 billion

Founded in North Carolina as Lowe's North Wilkesboro Hardware, the company is a home improvement retailer that sells everything from paint to tools to building materials.

Why Are We Wary of LOW?

  1. Products have few die-hard fans as sales have declined by 2.6% annually over the last three years
  2. Weak same-store sales trends over the past two years suggest there may be few opportunities in its core markets to open new locations
  3. Widely-available products (and therefore stiff competition) result in an inferior gross margin of 33.3% that must be offset through higher volumes

At $219.75 per share, Lowe's trades at 17.4x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with LOW, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Monro (MNRO)

Market Cap: $482.8 million

Started as a single location in Rochester, New York, Monro (NASDAQ: MNRO) provides common auto services such as brake repairs, tire replacements, and oil changes.

Why Do We Pass on MNRO?

  1. Ongoing store closures and lackluster same-store sales indicate sluggish demand and a focus on consolidation
  2. Disappointing same-store sales over the past two years show customers aren’t responding well to its product selection and store experience
  3. Sales were less profitable over the last three years as its earnings per share fell by 31.9% annually, worse than its revenue declines

Monro’s stock price of $16.04 implies a valuation ratio of 43.6x forward P/E. If you’re considering MNRO for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Warby Parker (WRBY)

Market Cap: $3.17 billion

Founded in 2010, Warby Parker (NYSE: WRBY) designs, manufactures, and sells eyewear, including prescription glasses, sunglasses, and contact lenses, through its e-commerce platform and physical retail locations.

Why Do We Think Twice About WRBY?

  1. Subscale operations are evident in its revenue base of $890.6 million, meaning it has fewer distribution channels than its larger rivals
  2. Poor expense management has led to operating margin losses
  3. Negative returns on capital show management lost money while trying to expand the business

Warby Parker is trading at $27.58 per share, or 52.3x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than WRBY.

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