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3 Value Stocks We Find Risky

SWK Cover Image

The low valuation multiples for value stocks provide a margin of safety that growth stocks rarely offer. However, the challenge lies in determining whether these cheap assets are genuinely undervalued or simply on sale due to their potentially deteriorating business models.

Separating the winners from the value traps is a tough challenge, and that’s where StockStory comes in. Our job is to find you high-quality companies that will stand the test of time. That said, here are three value stocks climbing an uphill battle and some other investments you should look into instead.

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)

Forward P/E Ratio: 13.5x

With an iconic “STANLEY” logo which has remained virtually unchanged for over a century, Stanley Black & Decker (NYSE: SWK) is a manufacturer primarily catering to the tool and outdoor equipment industry.

Why Should You Sell SWK?

  1. Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  2. Falling earnings per share over the last five years has some investors worried as stock prices ultimately follow EPS over the long term
  3. Low free cash flow margin of 0.6% for the last five years gives it little breathing room, constraining its ability to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders

Stanley Black & Decker’s stock price of $72.20 implies a valuation ratio of 13.5x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than SWK.

Lennar (LEN)

Forward P/E Ratio: 14.4x

One of the largest homebuilders in America, Lennar (NYSE: LEN) is known for constructing affordable, move-up, and retirement homes across a range of markets and communities.

Why Do We Avoid LEN?

  1. Sales pipeline suggests its future revenue growth won’t meet our standards as its backlog averaged 11.4% declines over the past two years
  2. 7.5 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last five years reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position
  3. Waning returns on capital imply its previous profit engines are losing steam

At $89.00 per share, Lennar trades at 14.4x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including LEN in your portfolio.

Jackson Financial (JXN)

Forward P/B Ratio: 0.7x

Spun off from British insurer Prudential plc in 2021 after more than 60 years as its U.S. subsidiary, Jackson Financial (NYSE: JXN) offers annuity products and retirement solutions that help Americans grow and protect their retirement savings and income.

Why Does JXN Give Us Pause?

  1. Net premiums earned expanded by 1.9% annually over the last two years, falling below our expectations for the insurance sector
  2. Day-to-day expenses have swelled relative to revenue over the last two years as its pre-tax profit margin fell by 32.8 percentage points
  3. Earnings per share have dipped by 2.3% annually over the past four years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term

Jackson Financial is trading at $104.26 per share, or 0.7x forward P/B. To fully understand why you should be careful with JXN, check out our full research report (it’s free).

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

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Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

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