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LOB Q2 Deep Dive: Deposit Growth and Small Business Lending Drive Revenue Momentum

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Digital small business lender Live Oak Bancshares (NYSE: LOB) reported Q2 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 14.6% year on year to $143.7 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.53 per share was 5.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy LOB? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Live Oak Bancshares (LOB) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $143.7 million vs analyst estimates of $140 million (14.6% year-on-year growth, 2.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.53 vs analyst estimates of $0.50 (5.3% beat)
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $38.35 million vs analyst estimates of $56.9 million (26.7% margin, 32.6% miss)
  • Market Capitalization: $1.49 billion

StockStory’s Take

Live Oak Bancshares’ second quarter results reflected strong momentum in core lending and deposit activities, with management attributing performance to robust loan originations and continued growth in new checking relationships. President William Losch III highlighted the “positive momentum across all areas,” noting that new initiatives like Live Oak Express and increased cross-sell into checking accounts contributed to top-line expansion. Management also pointed to improving credit quality and disciplined underwriting standards as supporting factors for the quarter’s profitability.

Looking ahead, Live Oak Bancshares’ forward strategy is shaped by ongoing investments in digital banking, a focus on deepening customer relationships, and leveraging technology—particularly artificial intelligence—to enhance efficiency and customer experience. Management emphasized confidence in sustained loan and deposit growth, with Losch stating, “We are moving back to the forefront, which is where it should be.” However, the team acknowledged that industry competition for deposits and the evolving small business credit environment will remain important watchpoints in coming quarters.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management described a quarter marked by broad-based loan growth, significant deposit inflows, and operational improvements, while also addressing the stabilization of credit trends.

  • Loan origination strength: The bank achieved its largest second-quarter loan production in history (excluding PPP), with growth across both small business and commercial lending segments. Management attributed this to consistent execution and strong pipeline replenishment, particularly in verticals like solar and senior housing.
  • Deposit momentum: Live Oak’s customer deposit balances grew approximately 6% over the quarter, supported by the successful ramp of its business checking product and competitive pricing strategies on savings accounts. The number of customers with both a loan and deposit relationship increased from 3% in 2021 to 18% currently.
  • Net interest margin expansion: For the third consecutive quarter, net interest margin improved, aided by lower deposit costs, repricing of maturing certificates of deposit (CDs) at lower rates, and higher balances of noninterest-bearing checking accounts. Management cited deliberate repricing actions and funding mix enhancements as key drivers.
  • Credit quality stabilization: Credit metrics, including past dues, defaults, and nonaccruals, showed improvement. Management highlighted that proactive problem loan resolution and enhanced front-end monitoring contributed to a 20% reduction in quarterly provision expense, signaling increased confidence in the credit cycle’s normalization.
  • Process modernization and AI adoption: The company accelerated efforts to streamline operations through process improvements and targeted investments in artificial intelligence. Chairman James Mahan and Losch both emphasized the potential for AI to improve customer acquisition, underwriting, and overall efficiency, though cost reduction was not cited as the primary objective.

Drivers of Future Performance

Live Oak Bancshares expects continued loan and deposit growth to anchor its outlook, with a focus on customer relationship deepening and technology-driven operational enhancements.

  • Relationship banking expansion: Management expects ongoing growth in both loan and deposit balances as more small business customers adopt bundled banking solutions. The company views cross-sell opportunities—such as pairing loans with deposit accounts—as a core driver of future revenue and margin stability.
  • AI-driven operational efficiency: Live Oak is investing in artificial intelligence to simplify customer onboarding, improve underwriting accuracy, and automate internal workflows. Management believes these initiatives will support scalable growth and help differentiate the bank as digital competition intensifies.
  • Credit cycle monitoring: Leadership remains vigilant about credit quality, noting that while current metrics are improving, external factors such as macroeconomic uncertainty and competitive pressures in both lending and deposit markets could pose risks. The company plans to maintain stringent underwriting and proactive servicing to mitigate potential headwinds.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In future quarters, the StockStory team will closely watch (1) the pace of new customer acquisition for both lending and business checking products, (2) Live Oak’s ability to maintain or expand net interest margin as deposit costs evolve, and (3) the sustainability of credit quality improvements as macroeconomic conditions shift. Progress on AI-driven process enhancements and competitive responses in the small business banking market will also be key metrics for ongoing assessment.

Live Oak Bancshares currently trades at $32.53, in line with $32.43 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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