As the Q4 earnings season comes to a close, it’s time to take stock of this quarter’s best and worst performers in the footwear retailer industry, including Designer Brands (NYSE: DBI) and its peers.
Footwear sales–like their apparel counterparts–are driven by seasons, trends, and innovation more so than absolute need and similarly face the bigger-picture secular trend of e-commerce penetration. Footwear plays a part in societal belonging, personal expression, and occasion, and retailers selling shoes recognize this. Therefore, they aim to balance selection, competitive prices, and the latest trends to attract consumers. Unlike their apparel counterparts, footwear retailers most sell popular third-party brands (as opposed to their own exclusive brands), which could mean less exclusivity of product but more nimbleness to pivot to what’s hot.
The 4 footwear retailer stocks we track reported a slower Q4. As a group, revenues missed analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.7% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 0.6% below.
Amidst this news, share prices of the companies have had a rough stretch. On average, they are down 28.8% since the latest earnings results.
Designer Brands (NYSE: DBI)
Founded in 1969 as a shoe importer and distributor, Designer Brands (NYSE: DBI) is an American discount retailer focused on footwear and accessories.
Designer Brands reported revenues of $713.6 million, down 5.4% year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 0.8%. Overall, it was a disappointing quarter for the company with full-year EPS guidance missing analysts’ expectations.
"Positive comparable sales in the fourth quarter reflect a return to growth for the first time in nine quarters, highlighting the success of our strategic initiatives throughout the year," stated Doug Howe, Chief Executive Officer.
Unsurprisingly, the stock is down 24.6% since reporting and currently trades at $2.86.
Read our full report on Designer Brands here, it’s free.
Best Q4: Foot Locker (NYSE: FL)
Known for store associates whose uniforms resemble those of referees, Foot Locker (NYSE: FL) is a specialty retailer that sells athletic footwear, clothing, and accessories.
Foot Locker reported revenues of $2.25 billion, down 5.7% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 3.2%. The business performed better than its peers, but it was unfortunately a mixed quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but full-year EPS guidance missing analysts’ expectations.
The stock is down 29% since reporting. It currently trades at $12.33.
Is now the time to buy Foot Locker? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.
Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ: SCVL)
Known for its playful atmosphere that features carnival elements, Shoe Carnival (NASDAQ: SCVL) is a retailer that sells footwear from mainstream brands for the entire family.
Shoe Carnival reported revenues of $262.9 million, down 6.1% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 2.7%. It was a softer quarter as it posted full-year EPS guidance missing analysts’ expectations and a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.
Shoe Carnival delivered the slowest revenue growth and weakest full-year guidance update in the group. As expected, the stock is down 23.4% since the results and currently trades at $17.36.
Read our full analysis of Shoe Carnival’s results here.
Boot Barn (NYSE: BOOT)
With a strong store presence in Texas, California, Florida, and Oklahoma, Boot Barn (NYSE: BOOT) is a western-inspired apparel and footwear retailer.
Boot Barn reported revenues of $608.2 million, up 16.9% year on year. This print met analysts’ expectations. Taking a step back, it was a mixed quarter as it also produced a decent beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates but EPS guidance for next quarter missing analysts’ expectations.
Boot Barn pulled off the biggest analyst estimates beat, fastest revenue growth, and highest full-year guidance raise among its peers. The stock is down 38.3% since reporting and currently trades at $107.73.
Read our full, actionable report on Boot Barn here, it’s free.
Market Update
In response to the Fed’s rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has been gradually trending down from its post-pandemic peak, trending closer to the Fed’s 2% target. Despite higher borrowing costs, the economy has avoided flashing recessionary signals. This is the much-desired soft landing that many investors hoped for. The recent rate cuts (0.5% in September and 0.25% in November 2024) have bolstered the stock market, making 2024 a strong year for equities. Donald Trump’s presidential win in November sparked additional market gains, sending indices to record highs in the days following his victory. However, debates continue over possible tariffs and corporate tax adjustments, raising questions about economic stability in 2025.
Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Top 6 Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.
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