
Shareholders of Vontier would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 21.7% and now trades at $32.21. This may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.
Is now the time to buy Vontier, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.
Why Is Vontier Not Exciting?
Even though the stock has become cheaper, we’re passing on Vontier for now. Here are three reasons why VNT doesn’t excite us, plus one stock we’d rather own.
1. Slow Organic Growth Suggests Waning Demand In Core Business
In addition to reported revenue, organic revenue is a useful data point for analyzing Internet of Things companies. This metric gives visibility into Vontier’s core business because it excludes one-time events such as mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures along with foreign currency fluctuations - non-fundamental factors that can manipulate the income statement.
Over the last two years, Vontier’s organic revenue averaged 2.9% year-on-year growth. This performance was underwhelming and suggests it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy, which can add an extra layer of complexity to its operations. 
2. Revenue Projections Show Stormy Skies Ahead
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Vontier’s revenue to drop by 1.6%, a decrease from its flat result for the past five years. This projection is underwhelming and implies its products and services will see some demand headwinds.
3. EPS Barely Growing
Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company’s incremental sales were profitable — for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.
Vontier’s EPS grew at 2.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. On the bright side, this performance was better than its flat revenue and tells us management responded to softer demand by adapting its cost structure.

Final Judgment
Vontier isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our bar. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 9× forward P/E (or $32.21 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is big given its shaky fundamentals. We’re pretty confident there are superior stocks to buy right now. We’d suggest looking at one of our top digital advertising picks.
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