Flowers Foods has gotten torched over the last six months - since February 2026, its stock price has dropped 38.9% to $7.28 per share. This might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is now the time to buy Flowers Foods, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Dive into our full research report to see our analyst team’s opinion, it’s free.
Why Do We Think Flowers Foods Will Underperform?
Even with the cheaper entry price, we’re cautious about Flowers Foods. Here are three reasons you should be careful with FLO, plus one stock we’d rather own.
1. Demand Slipping as Sales Volumes Decline
Revenue growth can be broken down into changes in price and volume (the number of units sold). While both are important, volume is the lifeblood of a successful staples business as there’s a ceiling to what consumers will pay for everyday goods; they can always trade down to non-branded products if the branded versions are too expensive.
Flowers Foods’s average quarterly sales volumes have shrunk by 2.2% over the last two years. This decrease isn’t ideal because the quantity demanded for consumer staples products is typically stable. 
2. Revenue Projections Show Stormy Skies Ahead
Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.
Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect Flowers Foods’s revenue to drop by 2%, a decrease from This projection doesn’t excite us and indicates its products will face some demand challenges.
3. EPS Trending Down
We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.
Sadly for Flowers Foods, its EPS declined by 21.7% annually over the last three years while its revenue grew by 2.5%. This tells us the company became less profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.
Final Judgment
We see the value of companies helping consumers, but in the case of Flowers Foods, we’re out. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 8.6× forward P/E (or $7.28 per share). While this valuation is optically cheap, the potential downside is huge given its shaky fundamentals. There are superior stocks to buy right now. We’d suggest looking at the most entrenched endpoint security platform on the market.
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